Arbeitspapier

Tax and spending shocks in the open economy: Are the deficits twins?

We present evidence on the open economy consequences of US fiscal policy shocks identified through proxy-instrumental variables. Tax shocks and government spending shocks that raise the government budget deficit lead to persistent current account deficits. In particular, the negative response of the current account to exogenous tax reductions through a surge in the demand for imports is among the strongest and most precisely estimated effects. Moreover, we find that the reduction of the current account is amplified when the tax reduction is due to lower personal income taxes and when the government increases its consumption expenditures. Historically, a much larger share of current account dynamics has been due to tax shocks than to government spending shocks.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 1821

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Fiscal Policy
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Subject
tax policy
government spending
proxy-vector autoregressions
current account,twin deficits

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Klein, Mathias
Linnemann, Ludger
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Klein, Mathias
  • Linnemann, Ludger
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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