Arbeitspapier
The (Structural) Gravity of Epidemics
Epidemiological models assume gravity-like interactions of individuals across space without microfoundations. We combine a simple epidemiological frame-work with a dynamic model of individual location choice. The model predicts that flows of people across space obey a structural gravity equation. By means of an application to data from Great Britain we show that our structural-gravity framework: provides a rationale for quarantines; offers a clear mapping from observed geography to the spread of a disease; and makes it possible to evaluate the welfare impact of (expected and unexpected) mobility restrictions in the face of a deadly epidemic.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 8295
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
Empirical Studies of Trade
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
- Thema
-
epidemics
Covid-19
gravity
regional mobility
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Cuñat, Alejandro
Zymek, Robert
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
-
Munich
- (wann)
-
2020
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Cuñat, Alejandro
- Zymek, Robert
- Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2020