Arbeitspapier

The (Structural) Gravity of Epidemics

Epidemiological models assume gravity-like interactions of individuals across space without microfoundations. We combine a simple epidemiological frame-work with a dynamic model of individual location choice. The model predicts that flows of people across space obey a structural gravity equation. By means of an application to data from Great Britain we show that our structural-gravity framework: provides a rationale for quarantines; offers a clear mapping from observed geography to the spread of a disease; and makes it possible to evaluate the welfare impact of (expected and unexpected) mobility restrictions in the face of a deadly epidemic.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 8295

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
Empirical Studies of Trade
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
Thema
epidemics
Covid-19
gravity
regional mobility

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Cuñat, Alejandro
Zymek, Robert
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Cuñat, Alejandro
  • Zymek, Robert
  • Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2020

Ähnliche Objekte (12)