You failed! Government satisfaction and party preferences facing Islamist terrorism

Arbeitspapier

International crises like dramatic terror attacks leave their mark on society in various ways. According to the existing literature, some of these consequences include two seemingly conflicting responses: increasing as well as decreasing support for the incumbent government. To make sense of this seeming contradiction, this study combines these observations in one empirical framework. We investigate the effects of Islamist terrorism on citizens' evaluation of the national government by logistic regression analyses using data from the European Social Survey (ESS) for Germany from 2014 to 2017. Our analyses demonstrate that support for the government significantly increases in the aftermath of Islamist terror attacks. However, the intensity of such support decreases with repeated exposure to terror attacks, and these effects even reverse when a certain level of terror is reached. Further, we find that radical right parties benefit from the issues accentuated by terrorism.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: CIW Discussion Paper ; No. 6/2018

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Crisis Management ; National Security and War ; Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior ; Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
• Thema: terrorism ; crisis ; rally effect ; party preferences

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Nowak, Anna
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Centrum für Interdisziplinäre Wirtschaftsforschung (CIW)
• (wo): Münster
• (wann): 2018

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/190810
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ