Arbeitspapier

Longevity, Life-Cycle Behavior and Pension Reform

How can public pension systems be reformed to ensure fiscal stability in the face of increasing life expectancy? To address this pressing open question in public finance, we estimate a life-cycle model in which the optimal employment, retirement and consumption decisions of forward-looking individuals depend, inter alia, on life expectancy and the design of the public pension system. We calculate that, in the case of Germany, the fiscal consequences of the 6.4 year increase in age 65 life expectancy anticipated to occur over the 40 years that separate the 1942 and 1982 birth cohorts can be offset by either an increase of 4.34 years in the full pensionable age or a cut of 37.7% in the per-year value of public pension benefits. Of these two distinct policy approaches to coping with the fiscal consequences of improving longevity, increasing the full pensionable age generates the largest responses in labor supply and retirement behavior.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research ; No. 396

Classification
Wirtschaft
Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making‡
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
Retirement; Retirement Policies
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
Life expectancy
public pension reform
retirement
employment
life-cycle models
consumption
tax and transfer system
Rentenfinanzierung
Rentenreform
Sterblichkeit
Lebenszyklus
Arbeitsangebot
Intertemporale Entscheidung
Schätzung
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Haan, Peter
Prowse, Victoria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Haan, Peter
  • Prowse, Victoria
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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