Arbeitspapier

The design of unemployment transfers: Evidence from a dynamic structural life-cycle model

In this paper we use a dynamic structural life-cycle model to analyze the employment, fiscal and welfare effects induced by unemployment insurance. The model features a detailed specification of the tax and transfer system, including unemployment insurance benefits which depend on an individual's employment and earnings history. The model also captures the endogenous accumulation of experience which impacts on future wages, job arrivals and job separations. For better identification of the structural parameters we exploit a quasi-natural experiment, namely reductions over time in the entitlement period for unemployment insurance benefits which varied by age and experience. The results show that a policy cut in the generosity of unemployment insurance operationalized as a reduction in the entitlement period generates a larger increase in employment and yields a bigger fiscal saving than a cut operationalized as a reduction in the replacement ratio. Welfare analysis of revenue neutral tax and transfer reforms also favors a reduction in the entitlement period.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 986

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
Unemployment insurance
replacement ratio
entitlement period
life-cycle labor supply
tax reform
method of simulated moments
Arbeitslosenversicherung
Dauer
Arbeitsangebot
Lebenszyklus
Sozialtransfer
Steuersystem
Steuerreform
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Haan, Peter
Prowse, Victoria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Haan, Peter
  • Prowse, Victoria
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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