Arbeitspapier

Overconfidence and Gender Differences in Wage Expectations

We analyze the impact of (over-)confidence on gender differences in expected starting salaries using elicited beliefs of prospective university students in Germany. According to our results, female students have lower wage expectations and are less overconfident than their male counterparts. Oaxaca-Blinder decompositions of the mean show that 7.7% of the gender gap in wage expectations is attributable to a higher overconfidence of males. Decompositions of the unconditional quantiles of expected salaries suggest that the contribution of gender differences in confidence to the gender gap is particularly strong at the bottom and top of the wage expectation distribution.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 13517

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
Expectations; Speculations
Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making‡
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Subject
gender pay gap
wage expectations
overconfidence
decomposition analyses
unconditional quantile regressions (RIF-Regressions)

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Briel, Stephanie
Osikominu, Aderonke
Pfeifer, Gregor
Reutter, Mirjam
Satlukal, Sascha
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Briel, Stephanie
  • Osikominu, Aderonke
  • Pfeifer, Gregor
  • Reutter, Mirjam
  • Satlukal, Sascha
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2020

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