Arbeitspapier

Contextual effects on the vote in Germany: A multilevel analysis

This paper addresses the old topic of contextual effects on voting behaviour. Current multilevel analysis techniques provide a powerful tool to (re-)examine such regional influ-ences on individual voting decisions. We apply multilevel analysis to German electoral data. Our results prove evidence of two contextual effects. The unemployment level of the district has a positive effect on SPD support, which confirms the local equivalent of the economic vote model. Furthermore the global strength of a party in a district has a positive effect on the individual decision to support that party. This is a confirmation of what has been labelled as breakage. Both effects demonstrate the continuing impact of the locality on individual vote preferences in Germany.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WZB Discussion Paper ; No. FS III 02-202

Classification
Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie, Anthropologie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Pickery, Jan
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung (WZB)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Pickery, Jan
  • Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung (WZB)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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