Quantifying the Benefits of Digital Biomarkers and Technology-Based Study Endpoints in Clinical Trials: Project Moneyball

Introduction: Digital biomarkers have significant potential to transform drug development, but only a few have contributed meaningfully to bring new treatments to market. There are uncertainties in how they will generate quantifiable benefits in clinical trial performance and ultimately to the chances of phase 3 success. Here we have proposed a statistical framework and ran a proof-of-concept model with hypothetical digital biomarkers and visualized them in a familiar manner to study power calculation. Methods: A Monte Carlo simulation for Parkinson’s disease (PD) was performed using the Captario SUM® platform and illustrative study technology impact calculations were generated. We took inspiration from the EMA-qualified wearable-derived digital endpoint stride velocity 95th centile (SV95C) for Duchenne muscular dystrophy, and we imagined a similar measurement for PD would be available in the future. DaTscan enrichment and “SV95C-like” endpoint biomarkers were assumed on a hypothetical disease-modifying drug pivotal trial aiming for an 80% probability of achieving a study p value of less than 0.05. Results: Four scenarios with different combinations of technologies were illustrated. The model illustrated a way to quantify the magnitude of the contributions that enrichment and endpoint technologies could make to drug development studies. Discussion/Conclusion: Quantitative models could be valuable not only for the study sponsors but also as an interactive and collaborative engagement tool for technology players and multi-stakeholder consortia. Establishing values of digital biomarkers could also facilitate business cases and financial investments.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Quantifying the Benefits of Digital Biomarkers and Technology-Based Study Endpoints in Clinical Trials: Project Moneyball ; volume:6 ; number:2 ; year:2022 ; pages:36-46 ; extent:11
Digital biomarkers ; 6, Heft 2 (2022), 36-46 (gesamt 11)

Creator
Mori, Hiromasa
Wiklund, Stig Johan
Zhang, Jason Yuren

DOI
10.1159/000525255
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2022081800293435184369
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
15.08.2025, 7:20 AM CEST

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Associated

  • Mori, Hiromasa
  • Wiklund, Stig Johan
  • Zhang, Jason Yuren

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