Arbeitspapier

Is social security behind the collapse of personal saving?

This paper considers the quantitative role of growth in the size of the social security program in contributing to the collapse of personal saving in the U.S. over the last few decades. Using a calibrated, general equilibrium life-cycle model this paper shows that social security may not be to blame. Specifically, the model predicts that a 50-percent increase in the social security tax rate (as in the U.S. over the last half century) produces a modest decline in the personal saving rate from 10 percent down to 9.6 percent. This result runs counter to some popular opinion.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 2746

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Micro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making‡
Social Security and Public Pensions
Subject
NIPA personal saving rate
social security
life-cycle permanent-income model
general equilibrium calibration
Sozialversicherungsbeitrag
Sparen
Einkommenshypothese
Allgemeines Gleichgewicht

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caliendo, Frank N.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caliendo, Frank N.
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2009

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