Arbeitspapier

The effects of policy guidance on perceptions of the fed's reaction function

In the past few years, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has been using forward guidance about the federal funds rate in a more explicit way than ever before. This paper explores the market reaction to the forward guidance, with particular focus on the use of calendar dates and economic thresholds in the FOMC statement. The results show that market participants interpreted the FOMC's policy guidance as conveying important information about the Committee's policy reaction function. In particular, market participants came to expect the FOMC to wait for lower levels of unemployment for a given level of inflation before beginning to raise the target federal funds rate, thereby shifting to a more accommodative policy approach aimed at supporting the economic recovery.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Report ; No. 652

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
monetary policy
forward guidance

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Femia, Katherine
Friedman, Steven
Sack, Brian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(where)
New York, NY
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Femia, Katherine
  • Friedman, Steven
  • Sack, Brian
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Time of origin

  • 2013

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