Growth prospects, the natural interest rate, and monetary policy

Artikel

The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion. Ten years after the Global Financial Crisis, GDP remains below its pre-crisis trend in many economies and interest rates continue to be very low. This raises the question of whether low GDP growth and low interest rates are a temporary phenomenon or are due to a decline in long-run growth prospects (potential output growth) and equilibrium real interest rates (natural interest rate). Addressing this question is important for central banks for conducting monetary policy and adjusting their strategy. In this paper, the authors address this question based on a review of the literature and an evaluation of the most recent data and discuss implications for monetary policy.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Journal: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal ; ISSN: 1864-6042 ; Volume: 13 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 2019-35 ; Pages: 1-34 ; Kiel: Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Price Level; Inflation; Deflation ; Business Fluctuations; Cycles ; Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects ; Monetary Policy ; Central Banks and Their Policies
• Thema: natural interest rate ; potential output ; output gap ; monetary policy

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Fiedler, Salomon ; Gern, Klaus-Jürgen ; Jannsen, Nils ; Wolters, Maik H.
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
• (wo): Kiel
• (wann): 2019

Weitere Informationen

• DOI: doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2019-35
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/200107
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ