Additive Damages, Fat-Tailed Climate Dynamics, and Uncertain Discounting

Abstract: This paper in applied theory argues that there is a loose chain of reasoning connecting the following three basic links in the economics of climate change: 1) additive disutility damages may be appropriate for analyzing some impacts of global warming; 2) an uncertain feedback-forcing coefficient, which might be near one with infinitesimal probability, can cause the distribution of the future time trajectory of global temperatures to have fat tails and a high variance; 3) when high-variance additive damages are discounted at an uncertain rate of pure time preference, which might be near zero with infinitesimal probability, it can make expected present discounted disutility very large. Some possible implications for welfare analysis and climate-change policy are briefly noted.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Additive Damages, Fat-Tailed Climate Dynamics, and Uncertain Discounting ; volume:3 ; number:1 ; year:2009 ; extent:23
Economics / Journal articles. Journal articles ; 3, Heft 1 (2009) (gesamt 23)

Creator

DOI
10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-39
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2412121759309.283382718749
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
15.08.2025, 7:27 AM CEST

Data provider

This object is provided by:
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Associated

Other Objects (12)