Arbeitspapier
How Brexit affects European Union power distribution
The possible exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union will have profound economic and political effects. Here we look at a particular aspect, the power distribution in the Council of the European Union. Since the Lisbon treaty the exit does not require new negotiations as the success of a voting initiative only depends on the number and total population of the supporting member states. Using the Shapley-Shubik power index we calculate the member states' powers with and without the United Kingdom and update earlier power forecasts using the Eurostat's latest population projections. There is a remarkably sharp relation between population size and the change in power: Brexit increases the largest members', while decreases the smallest ones' powers.
- ISBN
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978-615-5594-44-1
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: IEHAS Discussion Papers ; No. MT-DP - 2016/11
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Cooperative Games
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
- Thema
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European Union
Council of the European Union
qualified majority voting
power index
a priori voting power
demographics
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Kóczy, László Á.
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics
- (wo)
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Budapest
- (wann)
-
2016
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Kóczy, László Á.
- Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics
Entstanden
- 2016