Arbeitspapier

How communication makes the difference between a cartel and tacit collusion: A machine learning approach

This paper sheds new light on the role of communication for cartel formation. Using machine learning to evaluate free-form chat communication among firms in a laboratory experiment, we identify typical communication patterns for both explicit cartel formation and indirect attempts to collude tacitly. We document that firms are less likely to communicate explicitly about price fixing and more likely to use indirect messages when sanctioning institutions are present. This effect of sanctions on communication reinforces the direct cartel-deterring effect of sanctions as collusion is more difficult to reach and sustain without an explicit agreement. Indirect messages have no, or even a negative, effect on prices.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 2000

Classification
Wirtschaft
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Group Behavior
Market Structure, Pricing, and Design: Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
Monopolization; Horizontal Anticompetitive Practices
Subject
cartel
collusion
communication
machine learning
experiment

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Andres, Maximilian
Bruttel, Lisa Verena
Friedrichsen, Jana
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Andres, Maximilian
  • Bruttel, Lisa Verena
  • Friedrichsen, Jana
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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