Arbeitspapier

Understanding Markov-switching rational expectations models

We develop a set of necessary and sufficient conditions for equilibria to be determinate in a class of forward-looking Markov-switching rational expectations models, and we develop an algorithm to check these conditions in practice. We use three examples, based on the new Keynesian model of monetary policy, to illustrate our technique. Our work connects applied econometric models of Markov switching with forward-looking rational expectations models and allows an applied researcher to construct the likelihood function for models in this class over a parameter space that includes a determinate region and an indeterminate region.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2009-5

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
stability
nonlinearity
unique equilibrium
cross-regime indeterminacy
expectations formation
necessary and sufficient conditions
Rationale Erwartung
Markovscher Prozess
Neukeynesianische Makroökonomik
Geldpolitik
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Farmer, Roger E.A.
Waggoner, Daniel F.
Zha, Tao
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
(where)
Atlanta, GA
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Farmer, Roger E.A.
  • Waggoner, Daniel F.
  • Zha, Tao
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Time of origin

  • 2009

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