Arbeitspapier

Jánossy elmélete az új növekedéselmélet tükrében

If Janossy's theory should concisely be drafted, one might say that he had been researching the "real carrier of economic development" in a very original way and having formulated his theory in a specific language. He managed to identify the "carrier" of development focusing on the systematic examination of the post-war reconstruction periods, and setup a hypothesis being ascribed to his name, which allowed him to forecast - as the first and the only one in the world - the end of the post-war golden age, a decade in advance. The present study is aimed at comparing and contrasting Janossy's specifically formulated and highly genuine theories and ideas to the contemporary neo-classical economics and to the endogenous growth theory that have appeared in the nineties. The "real carrier of economic development" matches to the "human capital" of the contemporary neo-classical theory while in the endogenous growth theory it does match to the "technological progress", both appearing as separate factors of production. We present a new growth model that satisfies the best our considerations to which the a longitudinal model fitting is done for Maddison's [2003] historical data - from 1870 to present for the 19 most developed OECD countries - and for the post-war reconstruction period, as well. The same model is applied for a cross-regional analysis, after having calculated the rates of return on capital a ranking has been performed for nearly 300 (EU-27 NUTS 2) regions in the period of 2000-2005.

ISBN
978-963-9796-89-8
Language
Ungarisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IEHAS Discussion Papers ; No. MT-DP - 2010/2

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: General, International, or Comparative
Subject
endogenous growth theory
leader-follower model
human capital
Endogenes Wachstumsmodell
Humankapital
Technischer Fortschritt
Innovationsdiffusion
Technologietransfer
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Tarján, Tamás
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics
(where)
Budapest
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Tarján, Tamás
  • Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2010

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