Arbeitspapier

Information acquisition and learning from prices over the business cycle

We study firms' incentives to acquire costly information in booms and recessions to understand the role of endogenous information in explaining asymmetric business cycles. When the economy has been in a boom in the previous period, and firms enter the current period with an optimistic belief, the incentive to acquire information is weaker than when the economy has been in a recession and firms share a pessimistic belief. However, the price system, in transmitting information from informed to uninformed firms, moderates asymmetric incentives in information acquisition and renders the aggregate learning outcome approximately acyclical. Our results challenge the prevailing view of procyclical learning as the source of asymmetric business cycles.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance ; No. 740

Classification
Wirtschaft
Exchange and Production Economies
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
Expectations; Speculations
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Other
Subject
information choice
rational expectations
asymmetric information
Bayesian learning
strategic substitutability
business cycle asymmetries
Informationsbeschaffung
Lernprozess
Gleichgewicht
Rationale Erwartung
Asymmetrische Information
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mäkinen, Taneli
Ohl, Björn
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Stockholm School of Economics, The Economic Research Institute (EFI)
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mäkinen, Taneli
  • Ohl, Björn
  • Stockholm School of Economics, The Economic Research Institute (EFI)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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