Arbeitspapier

Structural vector autoregressions with nonnormal residuals

In structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models identifying restrictions for shocks and impulse responses are usually derived from economic theory or institutional constraints. Sometimes the restrictions are insufficient for identifying all shocks and impulse responses. In this paper it is pointed out that specific distributional assumptions can also help in identifying the structural shocks. In particular, a mixture of normal distributions is considered as a plausible model that can be used in this context. Our model setup makes it possible to test restrictions which are just-identifying in a standard SVAR framework. In particular, we can test for the number of transitory and permanent shocks in a cointegrated SVAR model. The results are illustrated using a data set from King, Plosser, Stock and Watson (1991) and a system of US and European interest rates.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 1651

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Subject
mixture normal distribution
cointegration
vector autoregressive process
vector error correction model
impulse responses
VAR-Modell
Kointegration
Fehlerkorrekturmodell
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lanne, Markku
Lütkepohl, Helmut
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Lanne, Markku
  • Lütkepohl, Helmut
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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