Arbeitspapier

Dynamics and stagnation in the Malthusian epoch: Theory and evidence

This paper empirically tests the predictions of the Malthusian theory with respect to both population dynamics and income per capita stagnation in the pre-Industrial Revolution era. The theory suggests that improvements in technology during this period generated only temporary gains in income per capita, eventually leading to a larger but not richer population. Using exogenous cross-country variations in land productivity and the timing of the Neolithic Revolution, the analysis demonstrates that, in accordance with the Malthusian theory, societies that were characterized by higher land productivity and an earlier onset of agriculture had higher population densities, but similar standards of living, during the time period 1-1500 CE.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2008-14

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: General, International, or Comparative
Economic History: Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy: General, International, or Comparative
Economic History: Agriculture, Natural Resources, Environment, and Extractive Industries: General, International, or Comparative
Economic Development: General
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Economywide Country Studies: General
Subject
Technological Progress
Population Dynamics
Malthusian Stagnation
Land Productivity
Neolithic Revolution
Volkseinkommen
Einkommen
Produktivität
Fruchtbarkeit
Bevölkerungstheorie
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ashraf, Quamrul
Galor, Oded
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Brown University, Department of Economics
(where)
Providence, RI
(when)
2008

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ashraf, Quamrul
  • Galor, Oded
  • Brown University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2008

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