Artikel

How much we gain by surplus-dependent premiums: Asymptotic analysis of ruin probability

In this paper, we generate boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim arrivals, and a hypoexponential claims scenario, Erlang (2) claim sizes. Applying the approximation theory of solutions of linear ordinary differential equations, we derive the asymptotics of the ruin probabilities when the initial reserve tends to infinity. When considering premiums that are linearly dependent on reserves, representing, for instance, returns on risk-free investments of the insurance capital, we firstly derive explicit solutions of the ordinary differential equations under considerations, in terms of special mathematical functions and integrals, from which we can further determine their asymptotics. This allows us to recover the ruin probabilities obtained for general premiums dependent on reserves. We compare them with the asymptotics of the equivalent ruin probabilities when the premium rate is fixed over time, to measure the gain generated by this additional mechanism of binding the premium rates with the amount of reserve owned by the insurance company.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 9 ; Year: 2021 ; Issue: 9 ; Pages: 1-17 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Erlang distribution
premiums dependent on reserves
risk process
ruin probability

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Wang, Jing
Palmowski, Zbigniew
Constantinescu, Corina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2021

DOI
doi:10.3390/risks9090157
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Wang, Jing
  • Palmowski, Zbigniew
  • Constantinescu, Corina
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2021

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