Arbeitspapier
Real wages and the business cycles in Germany
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time series model. The detrended data are analyzed both in the time domain and in the frequency domain. The great advantage of an analysis in the frequency domain is that it allows to assess the relative importance of particular frequencies for the behavior of real wages. In the time domain we find that both real wages display a procyclical pattern and lag behind the business cycle. In the frequency domain the consumer real wage lags behind the business cycle and shows an anticyclical behavior for shorter time periods, whereas for longer time spans a procyclical behavior can be observed. However, for the producer real wage the results in the frequency domain remain inconclusive.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 5199
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs: General
- Thema
-
real wages
business cycle
frequency domain
time domain
Germany
trend-cycle decomposition
structural time series model
phase angle
Reallohn
Konjunktur
Zeitreihenanalyse
Konsumgüterindustrie
Verarbeitendes Gewerbe
Schätzung
Deutschland
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Marczak, Martyna
Beissinger, Thomas
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
- (wo)
-
Bonn
- (wann)
-
2010
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Marczak, Martyna
- Beissinger, Thomas
- Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Entstanden
- 2010