Arbeitspapier

Confidence and the financial accelerator

We introduce financial frictions in the spirit of Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999) into a standard RBC model and use the heterogeneous-prior framework of Angeletos, Collard, and Dellas (2018) to accommodate confidence-driven business cycle fluctuations. We show that financial frictions strongly amplify the response to confidence shocks - more strongly than the response to fundamental shocks. Furthermore, we show that in the presence of financial frictions, prolonged episodes of unfounded optimism cause boom-bust cycles in investment and to a lesser extent in output. In particular, the financial state of the economy deteriorates severely after the initial boom, which leaves the economy more vulnerable to adverse shocks.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 18-23

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Thema
Confidence
sentiments
financial accelerator
financial frictions
higher-order beliefs
higher-order uncertainty
business cycle

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Myohl, Christian
Stucki, Yannic
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Bern, Department of Economics
(wo)
Bern
(wann)
2018

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Myohl, Christian
  • Stucki, Yannic
  • University of Bern, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2018

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