Arbeitspapier

Breaking the Unbreakable Union: Nationalism, Trade Disintegration and the Soviet Economic Collapse

The breakup of the Soviet Union provides evidence for the detrimental effects of secessionist conflict on domestic integration and economic growth. This paper shows that the increased likelihood of secessions by the Union's member republics in the late 1980s strongly reduced internal Union trade. Economic disintegration thus proceeded along internal borders and preceded the Soviet Union's official dissolution. This helps to explain the severity of the output fall in the late Soviet period. Methodologically, these results stem from an empirical gravity framework, which is derived from first principles by a game-theoretic modeling of Soviet internal trade. Exogenous variation in nationalist agendas, namely the desire to preserve national languages, is used to preclude endogeneity running from trade patterns to secession.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: EHES Working Papers in Economic History ; No. 57

Classification
Wirtschaft
National Security; Economic Nationalism
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: Europe: 1913-
Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General
Subject
Nationalism
secession
economic disintegration
output fall
Soviet Union
transition economies

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Suesse, Marvin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Historical Economics Society (EHES)
(where)
s.l.
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Suesse, Marvin
  • European Historical Economics Society (EHES)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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