Arbeitspapier

Flighty liquidity

We study the conditional distribution of future liquidity in the secondary market for corporate bonds as a function of current liquidity. Increases in liquidity are persistent for investment-grade bonds and flighty for high-yield bonds. Greater liquidity of high-yield bonds is associated with lower uncertainty about future liquidity of investment-grade bonds, but greater liquidity of investment-grade bonds is associated with greater uncertainty about future liquidity of high-yield bonds. Finally, we show that measures of market-wide volatility and market-maker constraints do not contain information useful for predicting the distribution of future liquidity over and above that contained in the recent history of bid-ask spreads.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Report ; No. 870

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Financial Forecasting and Simulation
Subject
corporate bond liquidity
liquidity uncertainty
quantile regressions

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Boyarchenko, Nina
Giannone, Domenico
Shachar, Or
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(where)
New York, NY
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Boyarchenko, Nina
  • Giannone, Domenico
  • Shachar, Or
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Time of origin

  • 2018

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