Arbeitspapier

Measuring The UK Short-Run NAIRU

This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the UK, the rate for unemployment at which inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the Kalman filter. Our work suggests that both structural changes in the labour market and favourable supply shocks may have had a beneficial impact on RPIX inflation over the last few years. We show that deviations of unemployment from the short-run NAIRU measures prove helpful in predicting inflation and we demonstrate their usefulness in Taylor-type policy rules for the interest rate.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: External MPC Unit Discussion Paper ; No. 12

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Batini, Nicoletta
Greenslade, Jennifer
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit
(where)
London
(when)
2003

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Batini, Nicoletta
  • Greenslade, Jennifer
  • Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit

Time of origin

  • 2003

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