Arbeitspapier
Measuring The UK Short-Run NAIRU
This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the UK, the rate for unemployment at which inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the Kalman filter. Our work suggests that both structural changes in the labour market and favourable supply shocks may have had a beneficial impact on RPIX inflation over the last few years. We show that deviations of unemployment from the short-run NAIRU measures prove helpful in predicting inflation and we demonstrate their usefulness in Taylor-type policy rules for the interest rate.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: External MPC Unit Discussion Paper ; No. 12
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Batini, Nicoletta
Greenslade, Jennifer
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit
- (where)
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London
- (when)
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2003
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET
Data provider
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Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Batini, Nicoletta
- Greenslade, Jennifer
- Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit
Time of origin
- 2003