Arbeitspapier

The extended Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter for spatial regression smoothing

The extended Hodrick-Prescott (HP) method was developed by Polasek (2011) for a class of data smoother based on second order smoothness. This paper develops a new extended HP smoothing model that can be applied for spatial smoothing problems. In Bayesian smoothing we need a linear regression model with a strong prior based on differencing matrices for the smoothness parameter and a weak prior for the regression part. We define a Bayesian spatial smoothing model with neighbors for each observation and we define a smoothness prior similar to the HP filter in time series. This opens a new approach to model-based smoothers for time series and spatial models based on MCMC. We apply it to the NUTS-2 regions of the European Union for regional GDP and GDP per capita, where the fixed effects are removed by an extended HP smoothing model.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Reihe Ökonomie / Economics Series ; No. 275

Classification
Wirtschaft
Bayesian Analysis: General
Statistical Simulation Methods: General
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity
Subject
Hodrick-Prescott (HP) smoothers
smoothed square loss function
spatial smoothing
smoothness prior
Bayesian econometrics

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Polasek, Wolfgang
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Polasek, Wolfgang
  • Institute for Advanced Studies (IHS)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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