Arbeitspapier

A commitment theory of subsidy agreements

This paper examines the rationale for the rules on domestic subsidies in international trade agreements through a framework that emphasizes commitment. We build a model where the policy-maker has a tariff and a production subsidy at its disposal, taxation can be distortionary and the import-competing sector lobbies the government for favourable policies. The model shows that, under political pressures, the government will turn to subsidies when its ability to provide protection is curtailed by a trade agreement that binds tariffs only. We refer to this as the policy substitution problem. When factors of production are mobile in the long-run but investments are irreversible in the short-run, we show that the government cannot credibly commit vis-à-vis the domestic lobby unless the trade agreement also regulates production subsidies, thus addressing the policy substitution problem. Finally, we employ the theory to analyze the Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM) Agreement within the GATT/WTO system.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 3945

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
International Institutional Arrangements
Business Taxes and Subsidies including sales and value-added (VAT)
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Subject
trade agreements
trade policy credibility
subsidy rules
GATT/WTO
Internationale Handelspolitik
Handelsabkommen
Subvention
Antidumping
WTO-Regeln
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Brou, Daniel
Ruta, Michele
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Brou, Daniel
  • Ruta, Michele
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2012

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