Arbeitspapier

Robustifying Optimal Monetary Policy Using Simple Rules as Cross-Checks

There are two main approaches to modelling monetary policy; simple instrument rules and optimal policy. We propose an alternative that combines the two by extending the loss function with a term penalizing deviations from a simple rule. We analyze the properties of the modified loss function by considering three different models for the US economy. The choice of the weight on the simple rule determines the trade-off between optimality and robustness. We show that by placing some weight on a simple Taylor-type rule in the loss function, one can prevent disastrous outcomes if the model is not a correct representation of the underlying economy.

ISBN
978-82-7553-710-0
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2012/22

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
model uncertainty
optimal control
simple rules

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ilbas, Pelin
Røisland, Øistein
Sveen, Tommy
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Norges Bank
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ilbas, Pelin
  • Røisland, Øistein
  • Sveen, Tommy
  • Norges Bank

Time of origin

  • 2012

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