Arbeitspapier

Simple Monetary Policymaking Without the Output Gap

The performance of a simple monetary policy rule, which does not rely on explicit information about the output gap but instead uses the change in the rate of inflation as a proxy for the output gap, is explored in a simple model of the US economy. The rule is found to outperform an optimised Taylor rule under a reasonable specification of real-time output-gap uncertainty. The relative performance improves if the inflation process is more backward-looking, if demand or cost-push shocks are less prevalent, and if the output gap has a stronger effect on inflation.

ISBN
82-7553-199-3
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2002/9

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Central Banks and Their Policies
Monetary Policy
Money and Interest Rates: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Thema
Taylor rules
monetary policy
simple rules
uncertain output gap
inflation-only rule

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Leitemo, Kai
Lønning, Ingunn
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Norges Bank
(wo)
Oslo
(wann)
2002

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Leitemo, Kai
  • Lønning, Ingunn
  • Norges Bank

Entstanden

  • 2002

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