Arbeitspapier

What Explains Persistent Inflation Differentials Across Transition Economies?

Panel estimates based on 19 transition economies suggests that some central banks may aim at comparatively high inflation rates mainly to make up for, and to perhaps exploit, lagging internal and external liberalization in their economies. Out-of-sample forecasts, based on expected developments in the underlying structure of these economies, and assuming no changes in institutions, suggest that incentives may be diminishing, but not to the point where inflation levels below 5 percent could credibly be announced as targets. Greater economic liberalization would help reduce incentives for higher inflation, and enhancements to central bank independence could help shield these central banks from pressures.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1373

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: National Income, Product, and Expenditure; Money; Inflation
Central Banks and Their Policies
Thema
inflation
transition economies
panel data
Inflationsrate
Inflation
Übergangswirtschaft
Geldpolitik
Schätzung
Osteuropa

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Hammermann, Felix
Flanagan, Mark
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2007

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Hammermann, Felix
  • Flanagan, Mark
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2007

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