Testing Persistence of Cohort Effects in the Epidemiology of Suicide: an Age-Period-Cohort Hysteresis Model

Abstract: Birth cohort effects in suicide rates are well established, but to date there is no methodological approach or framework to test the temporal stability of these effects. We use the APC- Detrended (APCD) model to robustly estimate intensity of cohort effects identifying non-linear trends (or ‘detrended’ fluctuations) in suicide rates. The new APC-Hysteresis (APCH) model tests temporal stability of cohort effects. Analysing suicide rates in 25 WHO countries (periods 1970–74 to 2005–09; ages 20–24 to 70–79) with the APCD method, we find that country-specific birth cohort membership plays an important role in suicide rates. Among 25 countries, we detect 12 nations that show deep contrasts among cohort-specific suicide rates including Italy, Australia and the United States. The APCH method shows that cohort fluctuations are not stable across the life course but decline in Spain, France and Australia, whereas they remain stable in Italy, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands. We discuss

Standort
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Umfang
Online-Ressource
Sprache
Englisch
Anmerkungen
Veröffentlichungsversion
begutachtet (peer reviewed)
In: PLOS ONE ; 11 (2016) 7 ; 1-20

Klassifikation
Medizin, Gesundheit

Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2016
Urheber
Chauvel, Louis
Leist, Anja K.
Ponomarenko, Valentina

DOI
10.1371/journal.pone.0158538
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2019052811434902391894
Rechteinformation
Open Access; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Letzte Aktualisierung
14.08.2025, 10:58 MESZ

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Beteiligte

  • Chauvel, Louis
  • Leist, Anja K.
  • Ponomarenko, Valentina

Entstanden

  • 2016

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