Arbeitspapier

Trillion dollar estimate: Illicit financial flows from developing countries

Recent estimates suggest that developing countries lose about 1 trillion US dollars each year due to illicit financial flows. This paper reviews the empirical methodology that underlies those estimates. Various critical aspects of the analytical approach are highlighted, focusing in particular on deficiencies in the use of mirror trade statistics to quantify the extent of capital outflows due to trade misinvoicing. Serious issues in the empirical analysis include, among others, arbitrary assumptions, mixed methodologies and skewed sampling. As a result, it is argued that the quantitative results obtained from those exercises have no substantive meaning. The trillion-dollar estimate of illicit financial flows from developing countries, therefore, lacks evidence and is uncorroborated.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Darmstadt Discussion Papers in Economics ; No. 227

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Empirical Studies of Trade
International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
Thema
trade misinvoicing
mispricing
capital flight

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Nitsch, Volker
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Technische Universität Darmstadt, Department of Law and Economics
(wo)
Darmstadt
(wann)
2016

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:tuda-tuprints-54379
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Nitsch, Volker
  • Technische Universität Darmstadt, Department of Law and Economics

Entstanden

  • 2016

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