Arbeitspapier

Demography, growth and robots in advanced and emerging economies

This paper provides estimates of the impact of demographic change on labor productivity growth, relying on annual data over 1961-2018 for a panel f 90 advanced and emerging economies. We find that increases in both the young and old population shares have significantly negative effects on labor productivity growth, working via various channels – including physical and human capital accumulation. Splitting the analysis for advanced and emerging economies shows that population ageing has a greater effect on emerging economies than on advanced economies. Extending the benchmark model to include a proxy for the robotization of production, we find evidence indicating that automation reduces the negative effects unfavorable demographic change – in particular, population aging-on labor productivity.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 030.2021

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Subject
Demographic Change
Labor Productivity
Robots

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lanzafame, Matteo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
(where)
Milano
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Lanzafame, Matteo
  • Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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