Capturing the financial cycle in Europe

Arbeitspapier

In this study, we approximate the financial cycle in Europe by combining potential common and relevant financial indicators. We consider different credit aggregates and asset prices but also incorporate banking sector indicators for 11 European countries. We develop seven different synthetic financial cycle measures in order to best capture the characteristics of the financial cycle. We assess the various financial cycle measures using both graphical and statistical investigation techniques. The best fitted financial cycle measure includes the following financial ingredients: credit to GDP ratio, credit growth and house prices to income ratio. This study also highlights potential applications for the financial cycle measure in the macro-prudential policy context.

Object Details

• ISBN: 978-92-899-1624-0
• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1811

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) ; Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy ; Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination ; General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation ; Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
• Subject: financial crises ; financial cycle ; financial regulation ; medium-term

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Stremmel, Hanno
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): European Central Bank (ECB)
• (where): Frankfurt a. M.
• (when): 2015

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/154244
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET