Arbeitspapier

Dating systemic financial stress episodes in the EU countries

This paper introduces a new methodology to date systemic financial stress events in a transparent, objective and reproducible way. The financial cycle is captured by a monthly country-specific financial stress index. Based on a Markov-switching model, high financial stress regimes are identified, and a simple algorithm is used to select those episodes of financial stress that are associated with a substantial negative impact on the real economy. By applying this framework to 27 European Union countries, the paper is a first attempt to provide a chronology of systemic financial stress episodes in addition to the expert-detected events that are currently available.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper ; No. 2016-11

Classification
Wirtschaft
Quantitative Policy Modeling
Financial Crises
International Financial Markets
Subject
Central bank research
Econometric and statistical methods
Business fluctuations and cycles
Economic models
Financial markets
Financial stability
Monetary and financial indicators
Financial system regulation and policies

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Duprey, Thibaut
Klaus, Benjamin
Peltonen, Tuomas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2016

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2016-11
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Duprey, Thibaut
  • Klaus, Benjamin
  • Peltonen, Tuomas
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2016

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