Arbeitspapier

Fear of taxes

This paper documents that Mexican households anticipated the fiscal reform of 2014 several months before enacted. This change in expectations is documented using a novel source of information available in Google Trends, among other sources. It then analyzes the economic consequences of this change using a general equilibrium growth model with taxes and uncertainty. The model also considers the presence of generic distortions in the form of wedges in the first order conditions to isolate the effect of taxation. The paper provides an explanation for the unusual trajectories of investment and GDP of the Mexican economy around 2013.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2019-09

Classification
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Fiscal Policy
Subject
business cycles
expectations
taxes
investment

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Leal, Julio
Mandujano, Javier
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Banco de México
(where)
Ciudad de México
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Leal, Julio
  • Mandujano, Javier
  • Banco de México

Time of origin

  • 2019

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