Arbeitspapier

Fear of taxes

This paper documents that Mexican households anticipated the fiscal reform of 2014 several months before enacted. This change in expectations is documented using a novel source of information available in Google Trends, among other sources. It then analyzes the economic consequences of this change using a general equilibrium growth model with taxes and uncertainty. The model also considers the presence of generic distortions in the form of wedges in the first order conditions to isolate the effect of taxation. The paper provides an explanation for the unusual trajectories of investment and GDP of the Mexican economy around 2013.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2019-09

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Fiscal Policy
Thema
business cycles
expectations
taxes
investment

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Leal, Julio
Mandujano, Javier
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Banco de México
(wo)
Ciudad de México
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Leal, Julio
  • Mandujano, Javier
  • Banco de México

Entstanden

  • 2019

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