Arbeitspapier

The Covid-19 Pandemic and European Trade Patterns: A Sectoral Analysis

This paper examines how the Covid-19 pandemic affected European trade patterns. Specifically, dynamic panel data models are estimated to assess the effects on exports and imports of various sectors and products (selected on the basis of their trading volume or strategic importance) of the restrictions and of other policy measures adopted by national governments during the crisis. The results suggest that the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic was heterogeneous across sectors and product types, both the initial drop and the subsequent rebound being different depending on sectoral characteristics and the degree of resilience. In particular, trade flows of durable products were more significantly affected by the pandemic compared to those of non-durable ones.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10115

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Economic Integration
Subject
Covid-19 pandemic
trade patterns
sectoral analysis
product analysis
stringency
policy responses
uncertainty
Europe
dynamic panel models
GMM estimator

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Sova, Anamaria Diana
Sova, Robert
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Sova, Anamaria Diana
  • Sova, Robert
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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