Arbeitspapier

Self-fulfilling prophecies in rank order tests

Modeled rank order tests have become a powerful tool to infer discrimination through observational outcome data such as police search success rates or errors in court decisions. The tests predict that outcomes that are born out of prejudice by decisionmakers will violate certain rank order patterns among the treated groups. This paper presents an unnoticed issue in these tests. I advance a rank order model that includes strategic behavior of the treated with respect to the decisionmakers' beliefs about them. This feedback mechanism can give rise to multiple equilibria, which can invalidate the use of the test.

Language: Englisch

Bibliographic citation: Series: WWZ Working Paper ; No. 2016/05

Classification: Wirtschaft

Event: Geistige Schöpfung

(who): Ilić, Dragan

Event: Veröffentlichung

(who): University of Basel, Center of Business and Economics (WWZ)

(where): Basel

(when): 2016

DOI: doi:10.5451/unibas-ep61319

Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/156487

Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

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Object type

Arbeitspapier

Associated

Ilić, Dragan
University of Basel, Center of Business and Economics (WWZ)

Time of origin

2016

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