Arbeitspapier

Monetary policy rules in emerging countries: Is there an augmented nonlinear Taylor rule?

This paper examines the Taylor rule in five emerging economies, namely Indonesia, Israel, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey. In particular, it investigates whether monetary policy in these countries can be more accurately described by (i) an augmented rule including the exchange rate, as well as (ii) a nonlinear threshold specification (estimated using GMM), instead of a baseline linear rule. The results suggest that the reaction of monetary authorities to deviations from target of either the inflation or the output gap varies in terms of magnitude and/or statistical significance across the high and low inflation regimes in all countries. In particular, the exchange rate has an impact in the former but not in the latter regime. Overall, an augmented nonlinear Taylor rule appears to capture more accurately the behaviour of monetary authorities in these countries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 1588

Classification
Wirtschaft
Estimation: General
Model Construction and Estimation
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Subject
Taylor rule
nonlinearities
emerging countries

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif
Helmi, Mohamad Husam
Menla Ali, Faek
Akdeniz, Coşkun
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif
  • Helmi, Mohamad Husam
  • Menla Ali, Faek
  • Akdeniz, Coşkun
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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