Arbeitspapier

A nonparametric analysis of regional unemployment dynamics in Britain

This paper estimates the probability distribution of relative county unemployment in Britain for the years 1981-1995. We find that the distribution is unimodal in all years, with a falling variance between 1989 and 1994. We use bootstrap methods to determine critical values for the two tails of the distribution, and analyse intra-distribution dynamics. An unemployment transition is defined as a move between a tail and the centre of the distribution (and vice versa). We calculate transition probabilities and find that the probability of leaving any given state is very low. We also find that high (low) unemployment regions have a higher probability of entering a state of lower (higher) unemployment than a state of higher (lower) unemployment.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: SFB 373 Discussion Paper ; No. 1997,94

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity
Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
Thema
panel data
nonparametric analysis
Regional unemployment
asymmetric effects in the persistence of transition dynamics

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bianchi, Marco
Zoega, Gylfi
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
1997

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-10064736
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bianchi, Marco
  • Zoega, Gylfi
  • Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes

Entstanden

  • 1997

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