Arbeitspapier

Real exchange rate decompositions

We provide a novel daily decomposition of the real exchange rate that exploits a direct link between bond and foreign exchange (FX) markets. Real exchange rate dynamics can be attributed to changes in the expected future level of the exchange rate; cross-country differentials of expected inflation, yields and bond term premia; and an FX risk premium. Through a variance decomposition exercise, we find that the FX risk premium is the dominant component. Monetary policies and macroeconomic news announcements largely move the real exchange through changes in the FX risk premium.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Discussion Paper ; No. 2022-6

Classification
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Foreign Exchange
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
Asset pricing
Exchange rates
International financial markets
Monetary policy transmission

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Feunou, Bruno
Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien
Krohn, Ingomar
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2022

DOI
doi:10.34989/sdp-2022-6
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Feunou, Bruno
  • Fontaine, Jean-Sébastien
  • Krohn, Ingomar
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2022

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