Arbeitspapier

Leaning Against Windy Bank Lending

Using an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with banking, this paper first provides evidence that monetary policy reacted to bank loan growth in the US during the Great Moderation. It then shows that the optimized simple interest-rate rule features virtually no response to the growth of bank credit. However, the welfare loss associated to the empirical responsiveness is small. The sources of business cycle fluctuations are crucial in determining whether a “leaning-against-the-wind” policy is optimal or not. In fact, the predominant role of supply shocks in the model gives rise to a trade-off between inflation and financial stabilization.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 5317

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Subject
lending relationships
augmented Taylor rule
Bayesian estimation
optimal policy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Melina, Giovanni
Villa, Stefania
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2015

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Melina, Giovanni
  • Villa, Stefania
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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