Arbeitspapier

Testing of money multiplier model for Pakistan: Does monetary base carry any information?

This paper tests the constancy and stationarity of mechanic version of the money multiplier model for Pakistan using monthly data over the period 1972M1-2009M2. We split the data into pre-liberalization (1972M1-1990M12) and post-liberalization (1991M1-2009M2) periods to examine the impact of financial sector reforms. We first examine the constancy and stationarity of the money multiplier and the results suggest the money multiplier remains non-stationary for the entire sample period and sub-periods. We then tested cointegration between money supply and monetary base and find the evidence of cointegration between two variables for the entire period and two sub-periods. The coefficient restrictions are satisfied only for the post-liberalization period. Two-way long-run causality between money supply and monetary base is found for the entire period and post-liberalization. For the post-liberalization period the evidence of short-run causality running from monetary base to money supply is also identified. On the whole, the results suggest that money multiplier model can serve as framework for conducting short-run monetary policy in Pakistan. However, the monetary authority may consider the co-movements between money supply and reserve money at the time of conducting monetary policy.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Economic Analysis Working Papers ; No. 2010,2

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Thema
Money Multiplier
Reserve Money
Monetary Policy
Geldschöpfung
Pakistan

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Khan, Muhammad Arshad
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Colegio de Economistas de A Coruña
(wo)
A Coruña
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Khan, Muhammad Arshad
  • Colegio de Economistas de A Coruña

Entstanden

  • 2010

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