Arbeitspapier

Industrialisation and the big push in a global economy

In this paper, we develop a multi-country open economy extension of the famous Big Push model for a closed economy by Murphy et al. (1989). We show under which conditions the global economy in our model is caught in a poverty trap, characterised by a low-income equilibrium from which an escape is possible (only) via a coordinated modernization effort across sectors and countries. We also analyze to what extent the degree of openness matters for the prospects of achieving the high-income equilibrium. We show that under monopolistic competition with CES preferences the openness to international trade does not affect the set of parameter combinations leading to a poverty trap, whereas international trade makes it more difficult to achieve industrialisation through a Big Push with continuum quadratic preferences. Responsible for this adverse outcome is the pro-competitive effect of opening up to international trade, which bites into firms' profit margins, rendering the adoption of a superior production technology unprofitable as it becomes more difficult for firms to amortise their adoption fixed costs.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: cege Discussion Papers ; No. 388

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
Economic Growth of Open Economies
Thema
Big Push
multiple equilibria
backward linkages
international trade,globalisation
poverty trap
technology upgrading
monopolistic competition

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kreickemeier, Udo
Wrona, Jens
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Göttingen, Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research (cege)
(wo)
Göttingen
(wann)
2020

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kreickemeier, Udo
  • Wrona, Jens
  • University of Göttingen, Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research (cege)

Entstanden

  • 2020

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