Arbeitspapier

Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time

With recovery from the global financial crisis in 2009 and 2010, inflation emerged as a major concern for many central banks in emerging Asia. We use data observed at mixed frequencies to estimate the movement of Chinese headline inflation within the framework of a state-space model, and then take the estimated indicator to nowcast Chinese CPI inflation. The importance of forward-looking and high-frequency variables in tracking inflation dynamics is highlighted and the policy implications discussed.

ISBN
978-952-462-730-6
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: BOFIT Discussion Papers ; No. 35/2011

Classification
Wirtschaft
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Subject
Nowcasting
CPI inflation cycle
mixed-frequency modelling
dynamic factor model
China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Funke, Michael
Mehrotra, Aaron
Yu, Hao
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Funke, Michael
  • Mehrotra, Aaron
  • Yu, Hao
  • Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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