Arbeitspapier

COVID-19 Relief Programs and Compliance with Confinement Measures

We study the impact of a COVID-19 relief program on compliance with confinement measures in Italy, the early epicenter of the pandemic. We match information on the allocation of funds across Italian municipalities with data tracking citizens' movements drawn from mobile devices and vehicles' navigation systems, anonymized and aggregated at the municipality level. To assess the role of the program, we exploit a sharp kink schedule in the allocation of funds as a function of past income differentials that generated random treatment assignment in a neighborhood of the threshold point. We find robust evidence that, after the introduction of the program, mobility decreased with the amount of transfers. The impact is economically sizeable and resists bandwidth changes, with stronger effects holding in the proximity of the cut-off and the coefficient stabilizing with distance from the threshold. A battery of placebo tests supports the interpretation of results. Our evidence suggests that authorities could leverage targeted relief programs to nudge compliance with emergency measures at a relatively modest cost.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 14064

Classification
Wirtschaft
Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
National Government Expenditures and Health
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household
Health Behavior
Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior: General
Subject
Coronavirus pandemic
COVID-19 policy response
lockdown
stay-at-home orders
mobility
compliance
social capital
Regression Kink Design
COVID-19

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Deiana, Claudio
Geraci, Andrea
Mazzarella, Gianluca
Sabatini, Fabio
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Deiana, Claudio
  • Geraci, Andrea
  • Mazzarella, Gianluca
  • Sabatini, Fabio
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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