Arbeitspapier

Comparing Indirect Inference and likelihood testing: Asymptotic and small sample results

Indirect Inference has been found to have much greater power than the Likelihood Ratio in small samples for testing DSGE models. We look at asymptotic and large sample properties of these tests to understand why this might be the case. We find that the power of the LR test is undermined when reestimation of the error parameters is permitted; this offsets the effect of the falseness of structural parameters on the overall forecast error. Even when the two tests are done on a like-for-like basis Indirect Inference has more power because it uses the distribution restricted by the DSGE model being tested.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2015/8

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
Thema
Indirect Inference
Likelihood Ratio
DSGE model
structural parameters
error processes

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Meenagh, David
Minford, Patrick
Wickens, Michael
Xu, Yongdeng
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(wo)
Cardiff
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Meenagh, David
  • Minford, Patrick
  • Wickens, Michael
  • Xu, Yongdeng
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Entstanden

  • 2015

Ähnliche Objekte (12)