Arbeitspapier

Consumption Response to Credit Expansions: Evidence from Experimental Assignment of 45,307 Credit Lines

I design a large-scale field experiment that constructs a randomized credit limit extension isolating selection, anticipation, wealth, and interest rate effects and study the impulse responses on spending, contract choice, and balance sheets. Participants borrow to spend 11 cents on the dollar in the quarter of the limit increase, with a cumulative difference of 28 cents by the third year. The effects extend to those far from the limit, those who had the new limits as available credit, and those with a meaningful buffer of liquid assets. Participants near their limits borrow and spend when limits are relaxed but put off spending and save out of constraints under the counterfactual when limits are tight. The findings provide strong support for a buffer-stock interpretation that emphasizes the importance of precautionary saving.

Language
Englisch

Classification
Wirtschaft
Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: Household
Subject
consumption
credit
MPC
randomized field experiment
precautionary saving

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Aydın, Deniz
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics
(where)
Kiel, Hamburg
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Aydın, Deniz
  • ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics

Time of origin

  • 2021

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