Artikel

How to solve dynamic stochastic models computing expectations just once

We introduce a computational technique- precomputation of integrals - that makes it possible to construct conditional expectation functions in dynamic stochastic models in the initial stage of a solution procedure. This technique is very general: it works for a broad class of approximating functions, including piecewise polynomials; it can be applied to both Bellman and Euler equations; and it is compatible with both continuous-state and discrete-state shocks. In the case of normally distributed shocks, the integrals can be constructed in a closed form. After the integrals are precomputed, we can solve stochastic models as if they were deterministic. We illustrate this technique using one- and multi-agent growth models with continuous-state shocks (and up to 60 state variables), as well as Aiyagari's ( 1994) model with discrete-state shocks. Precomputation of integrals saves programming efforts, reduces computational burden, and increases the accuracy of solutions. It is of special value in computationally intense applications. MATLAB codes are provided.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Quantitative Economics ; ISSN: 1759-7331 ; Volume: 8 ; Year: 2017 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 851-893 ; New Haven, CT: The Econometric Society

Classification
Wirtschaft
Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Computable General Equilibrium Models
Subject
Dynamic model
precomputation
numerical integration
dynamic programming
value function iteration
Bellman equation
Euler equation
envelope condition method
endogenous grid method
Aiyagari model

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Judd, Kenneth L.
Maliar, Lilia
Maliar, Serguei
Tsener, Inna
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Econometric Society
(where)
New Haven, CT
(when)
2017

DOI
doi:10.3982/QE329
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Judd, Kenneth L.
  • Maliar, Lilia
  • Maliar, Serguei
  • Tsener, Inna
  • The Econometric Society

Time of origin

  • 2017

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